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Center for Energy Studies | Research Paper

The Arab Spring and National Oil Companies: Hidden Effects and Stalled Reforms

March 14, 2014 | Jim Krane
Map of Middle East.

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Jim Krane

Diana Tamari Sabbagh Fellow in Middle East Energy Studies | CES Lead, Energy and Geopolitics in the Middle East | Codirector, Middle East Energy Roundtable

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Executive Summary

The violent uprisings that have convulsed the Arab world since late 2010 appeared to bypass most of the region’s major energy exporting states. With the exception of Libya, the countries with the most virulent uprisings play minor roles in world markets. But the lack of unrest does not mean that the region’s national oil companies (NOCs) escaped unscathed. Regime reactions to the Arab Spring contributed to increased revenue and patronage demands on these firms as a way of counteracting political opposition. Several authors find that these political objectives are behind inefficient operations in NOCs relative to shareholder-owned counterparts. I argue that not only political objectives but also specific political events contribute to inefficiencies. Emerging data suggest that NOCs responded to the Arab Spring by increasing activities that have made them less efficient. These include contributions to state social welfare schemes, hiring, and delayed reforms of domestic energy subsidies. However, while new patronage may have set back recent improvements in efficiency, these activities may have also contributed to the political stability that was, for the most part, maintained.

 

 

This material may be quoted or reproduced without prior permission, provided appropriate credit is given to the author and Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy. The views expressed herein are those of the individual author(s), and do not necessarily represent the views of Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy.

© 2014 Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy
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