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    Energy Insights 2024

    Energy Insights is a collection of articles informed by the research of fellows and scholars across the Center for Energy Studies’ programs and initiatives. Our inaugural 2024 report assesses global developments in energy markets, geopolitics, technology, and more to illuminate critical issues for policymakers and industry leaders.

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    Projects

    Carbon Capture in Texas

    Since 2019, the Center for Energy Studies at Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy has convened a diverse group of stakeholders to examine the deployment of carbon capture utilization and storage (CCUS) technologies in the state of Texas. Explore related research and an interactive Texas CCUS map, created in April 2021.

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    China Energy Map

    This regularly updated map provides an interactive and comprehensive visualization of China’s key energy infrastructure. Go here for methodology.

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    Electricity in Texas

    The Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) manages the state’s power grid and serves over 25 million customers, or about 90% of the population in Texas. The Center for Energy Studies’ Ken Medlock, Elsie Hung and Miaomiao Rimmer created time-lapse videos to illustrate actual, daily electric generation by fuel by ERCOT in MWh
    since January 1, 2009.

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    Map: Energy, Environment and Policy in the United States

    This map is an online, interactive tool to visualize and highlight the geospatial nexus of energy, environment, policy and society in the United States.

    Go to Map

    Map: roadsTaken

    roadsTaken” is an interactive map and geospatial database of buildings removed and people displaced by highway construction in Houston, Texas.

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    Featured Experts

    Jim Krane
    Wallace S. Wilson Fellow for Energy Studies | Co-Director, Middle East Energy Roundtable
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    Middle East Energy Roundtable

    The Middle East Energy Roundtable (MEER), a joint initiative of the Center for Energy Studies and Edward P. Djerejian Center for the Middle East, brings together the energy industry, diplomatic community, and scholars to deepen policy research on Middle Eastern energy and geopolitics, improve understanding of the region within the Houston community, and generate partnerships. 
     

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    Aerial view of the Strait of Hormuz

    Research

    Fellows and Scholars

    Jim Krane
    Wallace S. Wilson Fellow for Energy Studies | Co-Director, Middle East Energy Roundtable
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    Affiliated Experts

    Pedro Alvarez
    Baker Institute Rice Faculty Scholar | George R. Brown Professor of Engineering | Chair of the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
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    Cin-Ty Lee
    Baker Institute Rice Faculty Scholar | Chair, Department of Earth, Environmental and Planetary Sciences | Harry Carothers Wiess Professor of Geology
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    Research Staff

    About the Center

    From its location in the energy capital of the world — Houston, Texas — the Center for Energy Studies (CES) at Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy provides critical insights on the world’s complex and evolving energy landscape. By conducting data-centric research and nonpartisan analysis rooted in fundamental principles, the CES provides a trusted voice that investigates the drivers of energy market evolution, including but not limited to market design, policy and regulation, technology adoption, climate change, sustainability objectives and geopolitics.  

    The CES is widely recognized for its depth and insight, having been recognized at the top of the energy field by the University of Pennsylvania’s Think Tanks and Civil Society Program for three consecutive years before being named a “Center of Excellence.” It is also a past recipient of the prestigious USAEE Adelman-Frankel Award for “unique and innovative contributions to the field of energy.” CES fellows and scholars have also been individually recognized domestically and internationally, and their experience and expertise span a wide range of backgrounds — from strategic and analytical roles in industry and regulatory roles in government, to energy and environmental law, field work in journalism and various roles in academia — giving a unique, multidisciplinary and global perspective on energy-related issues. The interdisciplinary team of CES fellows and scholars is frequently called to provide briefings to U.S. government officials, world leaders and top industry professionals on a variety of issues. In the last decade, CES experts have delivered 17 congressional testimonies and worked with members of the U.S. House and Senate, the U.S. Department of Energy, the U.S. Department of State, the U.S. Department of Defense and the U.S. Department of Commerce. They have also conducted an average of 23 ministerial-level briefings per year spanning 43 countries.

    Some of the most challenging questions faced by society today require a holistic approach to achieve environmentally, socially and economically sustainable answers. By working across programmatic strengths in an interdisciplinary manner, CES fellows and scholars aim to elevate discourse and achieve workable, scalable solutions. CES programs and select areas of research include:

    • Electricity markets — reliability, market design and grid evolution
    • Minerals and materials — materials transitions, cost of supply, supply chains and marine minerals
    • Environment and sustainability — waste, circularity, engineered and nature-based CO2 sequestration, hydrogen and water
    • Geopolitics — particularly Eurasia, Latin America and the Middle East
    • Global crude oil — market evolution, threat assessment, security of supply and decarbonization
    • Global natural gas — LNG, methane emissions and security of supply
    • Transportation — transport corridor development, links to industrialization and the future of fuels

    The programmatic efforts of CES fellows and scholars reveal several fundamental points that underscore CES research and highlight the risks and opportunities in an evolving global energy ecosystem. 

    For more information:
    Melissa Vossler
    Program Administrator
    Center for Energy Studies

    Email: [email protected]
    Office Phone: (713) 348-2217

    Core Principles: Past Findings Driving Future Research

    Energy Transitions are Complex

    Developments across the energy landscape in the last two decades highlight the fact that understanding the global interconnectedness of energy markets — and the factors that shape them — is growing ever more important. Technological change, economic growth, environmental preference, geopolitics, energy trade, energy poverty and energy security concerns are all interwoven with national welfare and domestic economic priorities. The future of energy involves trade-offs, and successful transition pathways will fully consider environmental, social and financial sustainability.

    Energy Transitions Will Look Different Everywhere

    Energy transitions concept: photos and icons represent solar, wind and other alternative resources

    Globally, hydrocarbons account for over 80% of all energy, and demand continues to grow. Developing economies accounted for all incremental demand since the turn of the century. Regionally, the energy mix varies widely, with economic and population growth, national security priorities, innovations in the production and use of all energy sources, and native natural, physical, and human capital resource endowments all playing formative roles in defining regional risks and opportunities. These factors also foretell a future of energy that will continue to be different everywhere.

    Economics Matter

    Analyzing market trends

    Assessments of the long-term market implications of new energy technologies must incorporate full system costs of adoption and operation. Failing to account for the fixed cost of deployment, operating costs, costs associated with maintaining system reliability and the costs of any non-pecuniary externalities can result in unintended consequences ranging from environmental damage and social inequity to financial insolvency. New technologies must avoid burdensome fixed costs of adoption if they are to successfully integrate into supply chains, or they risk falling into the “valley of death.” Co-products can provide additional value for new technologies, which raises the possibility for things such as carbon-to-value innovations to accelerate a portfolio of scalable low-carbon energy options.

    Supply Chains Matter

    Shipping Containers

    Supply chains connect raw materials to manufacturing to delivery of final products through end-of-use. Efficient supply chain function is heavily dependent on transportation infrastructure. Actors along any supply chain must coordinate to ensure resilience and reliability, and commercial returns must be positive to support long-term viability. Otherwise, the supply chain breaks down and economic health is compromised. Transitioning to lower-carbon supply chains will require new infrastructures as well as optimization of various transportation modes and their respective fuel requirements to ensure long-term resiliency and economic health.

    Energy Transitions Require Material Transitions

    Coal mining machinery

    Hydrocarbons are critical to supply chains for advanced materials for wind, solar, electric vehicles, batteries and countless other vital technologies. Sustaining a modern way of life requires plastics, advanced composites, resins, lubricants and more. Even the most conservative energy transition scenarios represent a “call” on minerals and materials. Existing supply chains will be pressed to meet these demands. Improvements in the material intensity of current activities and the development of new, advanced materials will be critical for any energy future.

    Infrastructure is Central to Any Energy Future 

    gas

    The legacy of existing infrastructures and energy delivery systems is the foundation for change in the capital-intensive energy market. Energy systems are large and must scale to accommodate growth and expanded access. Energy infrastructure is long-lived, turning over on a multi-decadal time frame. Emerging technologies can drive cost improvements and signal how energy sources will compete. But investment in new (greenfield) and existing (brownfield) infrastructure is the vehicle for the deployment of new technologies. So, infrastructure investment will dictate the pace of innovation and change across the energy landscape.

    Sustainability is Multi-faceted

    Electric car concept

    New innovations promise more environmentally sustainable energy systems. But social acceptance is a prerequisite for any new infrastructure development, and positive returns on invested capital will drive growth and investor focus. Hence, environmental, social and financial sustainability will be a hallmark of successful transition pathways. Sustainability is deeply integrated with supply chains for all goods and services, and commercially viable expansion of re-X (i.e., recycle, reuse, refurbish, repurpose, etc.) efforts can ease potential stresses on current and new supply chains.

    ‘Innovation and Growth’ Will Shape the Future of Energy  

    Global market trends

    Innovation and growth have always been the core drivers of transition in energy systems. The two largest drivers of “transitions” in energy markets since 2000 are the shale revolution in the U.S. and the steep rise in demand in developing Asia. The U.S. shale revolution is a story of technical and process innovation, and demand growth in Asia was due to tremendous economic growth. Nations that embrace innovation and growth see the welfare of their citizens improve and their industries thrive.