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160 Results
Middle East
Winter Is Coming: Controlled Conflicts and the Oil-Price Geopolitical-Risk Premium
This paper presents a simple dynamic growth model of investment, consumption, passive military spending, and active military spending for an oil-exporting country. It argues that under conditions of significant geopolitical strife, a country might engage in a military conflict of limited scope and extent to drive up oil prices and revenues.
Mahmoud A. El-Gamal November 21, 2016
Globe showing Americas
Latin America Initiative | Commentary
Déjà Vu – Nicaragua Heading Toward Another Dynasty?
Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega was elected to a third consecutive and fourth overall term as president Sunday. While Ortega has successfully revitalized Nicaragua’s economy, his reelection signals a return toward an authoritarian power structure that dismantles the country’s democratic progress.
Erika de la Garza November 8, 2016
Drugs and a gun with money in a pile
The Victimology of Extortions in Mexico
Criminal extortion is on the rise in Mexico, particularly along the northern border states. Author Gary Hale shows how this trend has fueled government corruption, with officials implicitly or explicitly aiding organized crime groups as they extort businesses and citizens.
Gary J. Hale November 4, 2016
latin america
Latin America Initiative | Commentary
Colombia’s Peace Plebiscite: The People Have Spoken
Colombians on Sunday (10/2) voted against a peace deal with FARC negotiated by President Juan Manuel Santos. What are the potential ramifications of the vote, and the prospects for resolving the country's decades-long confict with the rebel group?
Lisa Guáqueta, Francisco J. Monaldi October 3, 2016
latin america
Latin America Initiative | Commentary
Colombia’s Peace Plebiscite: Making the Right Choice
President Juan Manuel Santos of Colombia promised that if his administration negotiated peace with the guerrilla group FARC, he would bring the agreement to the people for ratification. But his request for a plebiscite (a type of referendum) quickly turned into a clash between Santos and former President Alvaro Uribe, whose Centro Democrático party is leading a campaign against the agreement. Read more at the Houston Chronicle Blog: http://bit.ly/2cTT8zB
Lisa Guáqueta September 27, 2016
Europe Map
What ‘Brexit’ Means for the United States
On June 23, voters in the United Kingdom made history by voting for their country to leave the European Union. Joe Barnes, the Bonner Means Baker Fellow, examines what "Brexit" – or British exit – means for the United States.
Joe Barnes June 24, 2016